Data Analysis Of Anhui's Cotton Market In 2012/13

< p > < < a href= > //www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_p.asp > > Anhui < /a > Cotton Association statistics. The cotton planting area of Anhui in the 2012/13 year is about 4 million 700 thousand mu, which is 12.14% lower than that of 2011/12 in the year of 2011/12. Among them, the cotton area in Northern Anhui has a larger decline and is affected by the adjustment of planting structure. Some of the original main production counties and cities will not grow cotton, and the cotton area along the Yangtze River has a smaller decline, showing a slight posture. < /p >
< p > > as of now, the weather condition of Anhui's < a href= "//www.sjfzxm.com/news/index_c.asp" > cotton > /a > during the current year is relatively normal. The cotton growth is generally normal. According to the cotton association monitoring data, the average cotton yield per year will reach 254 kg, which is 1.55% lower than that of the 258 kg in the 2011/12 year. The estimated annual lint yield is about 280 thousand tons, which is 22.86% lower than the 363 thousand tons in the 2011/12 year. < /p >
< p > the estimated linen percentage is 37.5, which is about 0.5 lower than that in 2011/12. The main reason for the decline of cotton planting area is that the 20400 yuan / ton storage and storage price is far lower than the cotton farmers' psychological expectation. Cotton farmers give up planting cotton instead of rice, corn or cash crops. Many cotton farmers say that the price of agricultural materials has risen only at the present time, and the price of anti seed cotton has risen by 0.11 yuan per Jin compared with the price of 20400 yuan per ton in. Cotton planting will not be profitable. If next year's storage price is lower than the minimum protection price of grain, it will give up cotton planting. In the year of 2013-14, cotton planting area will continue to decrease and the reduction will be estimated at about 10%. < /p >
< p > at present, most of the provinces in the province have entered the picking season. The northern cotton region has begun to pull out the rod. As of December 20th, the picking was basically completed, and the seed cotton sale situation was better, and the cotton farmers' willingness to sell was more positive. < /p >
As of December 20th, as of December 20th, the seed cotton sale rate in the whole province was about 95%. In addition to a few areas (for example, the local seed cotton market in some parts of the East is about new year's day), most of the cotton seed purchase is over. The cotton farmers' surplus is mostly frosting yellow cotton. The main body of the market is the 400 type enterprise. More than 70% of the 200 types of enterprises are not open for purchase this year. Most of the remaining ones are taken as the acquisition point of the 400 type enterprises. The average price of the market is 4.3 yuan / Jin (3 seed cotton, 37.5 clothes, 10 water), 4 grade is 4.2 yuan / Jin. < /p >
< p > from the perspective of enterprise processing progress, as of December 20th, the processing rate of seed cotton in our province is about 90%. Some enterprises will finish processing after new year's day, except for a small proportion of lint entering the futures market, most of them are imported into the national reserve, and the market sells less cotton. At present, the a href= "http://fz.sjfzxm.com/" > textile enterprise < /a > starts poorly. Since September, orders have been mostly short-term orders, and textile enterprises have compressed their lint stocks. Most of them adopt the strategy of "buying and selling with use", and are more inclined to purchase imported cotton. < /p >